[Pubmed] Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict Minimal Symptom Expression in AChR+ gMG Patients Undergoing

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Curr Neuropharmacol. 2026 Aug 11. doi: 10.2174/011570159X499275260731080332. Online ahead of print.

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Efgartigimod has emerged as an effective treatment option for acetylcholine receptor antibody-positive generalized myasthenia gravis (AChR+ gMG). This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive nomogram to evaluate the achievement of Minimal Symptom Expression (MSE) in AChR+ gMG patients following efgartigimod treatment.

METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 119 patients with AChR+ gMG who received at least one cycle of efgartigimod and had ≥ 12 weeks of follow-up. Clinical response was defined as MSE, referring to an MG-ADL score of 0 or 1 within 4 weeks of treatment initiation and sustained for ≥ 4 consecutive weeks. Independent predictors of MSE were identified using multivariable logistic regression and incorporated into a nomogram. Model performance was assessed by discrimination (AUC-ROC) and calibration, with internal validation performed using bootstrap resampling.

RESULTS: The MSE responder rate was 37.0%. New-onset MG (OR=2.691, p=0.031), thymoma-associated MG (TAMG) (OR=0.209, p=0.027), baseline QMG score (OR=0.888, p=0.007), and the reduction in IgG levels after one treatment cycle (ΔIgG) (OR=1.168, p=0.040) were independently associated with the clinical response. The nomogram demonstrated moderate discrimination, with a bootstrap-corrected AUC of 0.744 (95% CI: 0.732-0.771), indicating stable performance after internal validation.

DISCUSSION: The nomogram indicates that new-onset MG and ΔIgG are associated with a higher probability of achieving MSE, while TAMG and a higher baseline QMG score are linked to poorer outcomes. These findings further support the potential value of early intervention and dynamic IgG monitoring in guiding individualized treatment strategies.

CONCLUSION: By integrating new-onset MG, TAMG, baseline QMG score, and ΔIgG, this nomogram provides an individualized prediction of MSE in AChR+ gMG patients treated with efgartigimod, offering a practical clinical tool to help tailor treatment strategies.

PMID:42634333 | DOI:10.2174/011570159X499275260731080332


Source: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/4263433 ... 7&v=2.20.1